Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 397.027780 455.167347 521.192409 602.205707 699.586803 813.700616 958.760268
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 311.850719 385.657102 478.002057 603.927475 774.181480 1000.876612 1333.453154
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 261.088163 338.332946 441.040246 591.041307 810.578528 1130.343806 1651.778681
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 230.352657 309.789612 420.701999 592.101809 860.366595 1282.966444 2041.548017
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 203.218811 281.358820 394.761146 578.184282 881.617155 1392.471553 2390.134508
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 184.436183 262.045778 378.655673 575.283593 917.776487 1532.130013 2835.769573
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 163.175248 236.344351 349.179163 545.558017 901.529840 1572.827289 3096.662510
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 156.807770 232.673135 353.573801 572.694763 991.065653 1834.370915 3934.173360
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 152.766291 232.066808 362.581005 608.872985 1104.590032 2175.537761 5122.163944
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 143.388994 221.674031 353.673652 610.546070 1149.115372 2378.340877 6048.935133
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 132.397646 207.518381 336.625657 594.107180 1152.079942 2484.510559 6748.922808
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 123.076857 195.408853 321.975250 580.328742 1158.218079 2600.443408 7547.940755
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 118.833940 192.010291 323.240960 599.877117 1246.798397 2966.479707 9502.634342
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 112.771477 184.872651 316.842115 602.658091 1296.872227 3246.548861 11375.776321
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 105.506092 174.929066 304.047898 589.738959 1305.060165 3406.201994 12877.726135
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 100.503830 168.742567 297.947760 590.800830 1349.880952 3698.595885 15321.991442
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 94.404289 160.031840 286.009661 576.921132 1351.675017 3850.210579 17200.289392
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 89.937225 154.094197 279.146447 574.028373 1383.866328 4123.218720 20157.039531
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 83.309391 143.559881 261.970760 544.383307 1333.141849 4072.822449 20963.699264
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 82.358032 143.996489 267.700774 571.446596 1457.554415 4757.737543 28202.117715
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 82.110472 145.786365 276.461188 607.525533 1620.465889 5700.639668 40006.208446
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 79.082275 141.756929 272.180397 609.193990 1672.241121 6179.706445 48746.310998
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 74.911248 135.133086 261.618203 592.800433 1659.176605 6342.767875 54381.606748